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From: Alfred on 17 Dec 2009 07:16 Oh, by the way Mercutio..... Right now, my opinion holds as much "gas" as your predictionary stats.
From: mercutio on 17 Dec 2009 21:00 On Thu, 17 Dec 2009 04:16:21 -0800 (PST), Alfred <behyndblueeyes(a)hotmail.com> wrote: >Oh, by the way Mercutio..... >Right now, my opinion holds as much "gas" as your predictionary stats. The difference is that your opinion is just that an opinion. My opinion ( while not always right) is based on what has this guy done before and what are the probabilities that he will preform that way again. This is very much like using stats to set your car or life insurance rates. Are these Statistics infallible ? Not at all. However the probability that a guy who hits around 300 for 5 or 6 years will hit 300 this year is pretty good. Rios' season last year was a good example of this not working all the time however given his lifetime stats I think he may come back with a vengeance this year So once again we disagree. I can give you a dozen reasons why I hold the opinion I do, you , on the other hand, just have an opinion ( or at least you haven't shared reasons or the whys of your coming to that opinion Jim
From: Alfred on 24 Dec 2009 05:48 On Dec 17, 6:00 pm, mercutio <jim013...(a)yahoo.com> wrote: > On Thu, 17 Dec 2009 04:16:21 -0800 (PST), Alfred > > <behyndbluee...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > >Oh, by the way Mercutio..... > >Right now, my opinion holds as much "gas" as your predictionary stats. > > The difference is that your opinion is just that an opinion. My > opinion ( while not always right) is based on what has this guy done > before and what are the probabilities that he will preform that way > again. This is very much like using stats to set your car or life > insurance rates. Are these Statistics infallible ? Not at all. However > the probability that a guy who hits around 300 for 5 or 6 years will > hit 300 this year is pretty good. > Rios' season last year was a good example of this not working all the > time however given his lifetime stats I think he may come back with a > vengeance this year > > So once again we disagree. I can give you a dozen reasons why I hold > the opinion I do, you , on the other hand, just have an opinion ( or > at least you haven't shared reasons or the whys of your coming to > that opinion > > Jim I can appreciate your comments, and I don't think I disagree so much with your logic and data as you might like to believe. We (I) often use opinions to instill and sometimes attempt to provoke the process of thought and interactive communication. FYI, I once owned a baseball (James) encyclopaedia and I always seemed to enjoy referring to it before the internet age. These days that info is generally free - yet sometimes I sense things intuitively. Sure, we can try to compare this upcoming 2010 team with '05 statistically - and be near to what can be expected. But since that effort is also somewhat of a braindrain, I have to refer to my insight. As things are be settled rosterwise, I do see a nice starting rotation - if Peavy holds true to his stats, as well as everyone else's. Four out of five statistically winning starters can be boisterous, but I also remember 1993 (?), 1985 and even 1964-5-6-7-8-9! I can hardly get bye expecting much more from Kotsay as I did with WIllie Harris. And I accept your "call" on Rios, I'll hope that he really isn't as bad as he appeared last season. With some hi-hope on Jones, I'd guess that he's the key as to whether this team can earn a post-season. And contrary to your incessant disdain for A.J., most of his fans - as well as myself trust him to perform as usual. Getting past that, the infield should improve but the relief pitching is again appears to be the team's most self-destructive force. behyndblueeyes
From: tbenton on 24 Dec 2009 07:56 On Thu, 24 Dec 2009 02:48:56 -0800 (PST), Alfred <behyndblueeyes(a)hotmail.com> wrote: >On Dec 17, 6:00�pm, mercutio <jim013...(a)yahoo.com> wrote: >> On Thu, 17 Dec 2009 04:16:21 -0800 (PST), Alfred >> >> <behyndbluee...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: >> >Oh, by the way Mercutio..... >> >Right now, my opinion holds as much "gas" as your predictionary stats. >> >> The difference is that your opinion is just that an opinion. My >> opinion ( while not always right) is based on what has this guy done >> before and what are the probabilities that he will preform that way >> again. This is very much like using stats to set your car or life >> insurance rates. Are these Statistics infallible ? Not at all. However >> the probability that a guy who hits around 300 for 5 or 6 years will >> hit 300 this year is pretty good. >> Rios' season last year was a good example of this not working all the >> time however given his lifetime stats I think he may come back with a >> vengeance this year >> >> So once again we disagree. I can give you a dozen reasons why I hold >> the opinion I do, you , on the other hand, just have an opinion ( or >> at least you haven't shared reasons or the whys of �your coming to >> that opinion >> >> Jim > >I can appreciate your comments, and I don't think I disagree so much >with your logic and data as you might like to believe. >We (I) often use opinions to instill and sometimes attempt to provoke >the process of thought and interactive communication. >FYI, I once owned a baseball (James) encyclopaedia and I always seemed >to enjoy referring to it before the internet age. >These days that info is generally free - yet sometimes I sense things >intuitively. >Sure, we can try to compare this upcoming 2010 team with '05 >statistically - and be near to what can be expected. >But since that effort is also somewhat of a braindrain, I have to >refer to my insight. >As things are be settled rosterwise, I do see a nice starting rotation >- if Peavy holds true to his stats, as well as everyone else's. >Four out of five statistically winning starters can be boisterous, but >I also remember 1993 (?), 1985 and even 1964-5-6-7-8-9! >I can hardly get bye expecting much more from Kotsay as I did with >WIllie Harris. And I accept your "call" on Rios, I'll hope that he >really isn't as bad as he appeared last season. With some hi-hope on >Jones, I'd guess that he's the key as to whether this team can earn a >post-season. And contrary to your incessant disdain for A.J., most of >his fans - as well as myself trust him to perform as usual. Getting >past that, the infield should improve but the relief pitching is again >appears to be the team's most self-destructive force. > >behyndblueeyes I concur. It is almost like the bullpen never recovered once Linebrink crashed and burned.
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